Tuesday, May 5, 2009

The Ultimate Bear Market Hurdle For the Bulls: The 200 Day Moving Average





If you believe that we are still in a bear makret and not think all will be rosey and we will have a fairy tale ending to this crisis then you have to think that the 200 day moving would be a giant hurdle to overcome for the bulls. Lots of bears waiting to short there and bulls looking to take profits around this 200 day moving average. Last night while sleeping i had a dream/nightmare about stocks. No joke, this usually happens after i experience or see a high level of emotional drama around me. I think it's safe to say that yesterday i saw it. Based on emails i was getting and visiting around many blogs. I have to say that in hindsight i saw lots of bears capitulate yesterday and mostly a lot of greedy bull behavior wishing for more gains! Now, this doesn't mean that we cannot rally anymore or pile on the shorts but for me at least, i will have to do the smart thing and trade very lightly until i either see a confirmation of what i just stated above or we pullback for a few days, wash out more longs and then start to rally again. Check out the attached charts and tell me if you wanna be long and strong right now????

I am advising all my subscribers against any new longs here. My two cents

5 comments:

  1. I said it yesterday on Wallstreak. I don't know why anyone would want to be long here.

    Thanks for pointing out those 200day ma's.

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  2. I agree,closed all my longs yesterdar,missed out a lot today with WRES and MPEL.

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  3. we actually ended up taking 3 longs in the small cap area near the close. we might see one more leg up in these low priced stocks.

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  4. it's only thing that has been really working lately anyway.

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  5. Stewie, I bought front month puts on AXP 25's....something bad this way comes IMO.

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