Sunday, December 30, 2007

COT Numbers

The COT Report:
The latest Commitments of Traders report from the CFTC shows that Commercial Hedgers sold 18,917 S&P 500 futures contracts last week to bring their net short position to -7,222 contracts. Large traders were net short -8,394 contracts, with Small Traders net long the remaining 15,616, the so-called "weak hands". For the Nasdaq 100 futures, Commercials sold 4,564 contracts last week to bring their net long position to 2,967 contracts. Small Traders were net long 2,531 contracts in the Nasdaq. Commercial action in Dow futures saw the smart money buy 2,750 contracts to bring their net long position to 5,842 contracts.
Commercial Hedgers were better sellers in the S&P's last week, while Small Traders were better buyers, a short term bearish sign. Commercials are now net short in the all important S&P futures, and that has been an intermediate term bearish sign historically.

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